September 13, 2010

Low Cash Levels In Mutual Funds: Warning Signal

“The percentage of mutual funds cash levels was 3.4% in July. This is the lowest percentage cash level ever and is near levels that accompanied the 2007 equity market peak.”

The Pragmatic Capitalist underlines that the last two times we witnessed cash levels near these levels were directly before the 1999 market implosion and the 2008 market debacle. And he adds "surely it’s unwise to use any single indicator to make market decisions, however, this is one macro indicator that is worth noting."

There is sound reasons to be cautions with long positions going forward. Besides, the stock market`s seasonality is terrible going into October.

Graph with Mutual Funds cash levels:


Related ETFs: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM)

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